Keep calm and muddle on: Global Forward View August 2026 - NAB

 19 August 2026

Economy and Markets

Key points

  • Global growth has stabilised in Q2 pointing to a contained Iran-war fallout.
  • Q2 GDP results have generally been stronger than expected; we now see global growth of 3.1% in 2026 (previously 3.0%). 2027 growth unchanged at 3.3%. The continued Iran conflict means risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside.
  • The Japan-US yen intervention highlights the fundamental need for the BoJ to raise rates more quickly than it has been doing. 

Read the full August 2026 Global Forward View Report. 

Related Articles

Consumer spending remained solid in September

Economy and Markets

Australian consumer spending rose solidly in September, reflecting higher fuel costs, while discretionary spending also remained resilient, according to NAB’s Consumer Spend Trend.

21 October 2026 | 2 min read

Commercial property outlook softens as retail loses ground - NAB Commercial Property Survey Q3 2026

Economy and Markets

Australian commercial property sentiment softened for a second consecutive quarter, with weaker retail conditions weighing on the market, according to the latest NAB Commercial Property Survey.

19 October 2026 | 2 min read

Triple squeeze hits business confidence - NAB Monthly Business Survey September 2026

Economy and Markets

A triple threat of higher interest rates, global uncertainty and elevated fuel and diesel costs is weighing down business confidence, according to the NAB Monthly Business Survey.

13 October 2026 | 2 min read

Contact us

Media Enquiries

For all media enquiries, please contact the NAB Media Line on +61 3 7035 5015